Safe-Alloy
0xfa868953547679ef92027ebd11db99a483012e0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-681.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
4183 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.3K
$355.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 15?
3337 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 15?
2528 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?
2031 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 26?
1530 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-76.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1400 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?
1233 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-144.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-29.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?
1006 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.19Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$998.94May 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$459.79May 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$64.34May 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$181.75May 22, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$363.51May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$47.98May 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$115.96May 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$73.07May 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$274.68May 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$32.43May 12, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5AM ET$0.00Apr 19, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$0.00Apr 18, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$0.00Apr 18, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Apr 18, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Apr 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$29.23Apr 18, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.4KApr 18, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $221.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".