Sniveling-Entertainment
0xfa885c03e73797536c885bd91d3015ebdca38870
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$92.68
Total PnL
$1.22
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$14.22
$0.22
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$11.70
$0.70
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$9.89
$0.89
- NO
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.46
$0.46
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.86
$0.05
- NO
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.83
$0.09
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.90Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.65Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Jun 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.39May 31, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$9.04May 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $14.04May 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$10.02May 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$11.03May 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$8.02May 31, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-11?$4.71May 31, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?$6.19May 31, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 30?$15.15May 31, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 30?$26.40May 31, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Metaloglobus București win on 2026-05-11?$4.02May 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$3.00May 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$6.00May 11, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.00May 11, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$11.01Apr 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 30?$15.01Apr 29, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $12.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.