Amazing-Puritan
0xfa8d066592a0cb5eabcf679bd65ad60e27fb772d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?
30 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0.00Jan 22, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?$0.00Jan 20, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?$0.86Jan 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?$1.72Jan 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.99Jan 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$8.40Jan 19, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.81Jan 19, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$12.20Jan 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$6.30Jan 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$7.20Jan 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?$13.50Jan 19, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.