Naughty-Trainer
0xfa90bad1f2ca7b66469bb26f6d92bde0daf12be3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$12.80
Win rate
68%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
1249 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- HEAT
Kings vs. Heat
517 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-351.24
- NO
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Cavaliers
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
176 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- 76ERS
Pistons vs. 76ers
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NETS
Nuggets vs. Nets
120 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-100.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.01Jul 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.01Jul 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.01Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Jul 21, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.