Well-Lit-Migrant
0xfa956ba0ddd2bade554759d2a4d5d40a055f8718
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$20.70
Total PnL
$16.0K
Realised
$16.0K
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?
5 shares @ 69.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$4.57
$1.41
- NO
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$4.51
$0.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?
4 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2022$4.48
$0.19
- NO
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 59.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$3.33
$1.36
- YES
Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4?
2 shares @ 14.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2022$2.15
$1.84
- NO
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2022$1.67
$0.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?
27 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2023$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022?
22 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022?
22 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2022$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
3 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22?$0.00Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22?$0.01Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be $85 billion or higher on April 17?$0.01Apr 18, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022?$0.00Apr 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022?$1.26Apr 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15?$0.00Apr 14, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15?$0.78Apr 14, 21:51 UTC
- MERGEWill NATO expand in 2022?$4.17Apr 14, 21:48 UTC
- MERGEWill the floor price of Azuki be 25 ETH or more on April 22?$1.40Apr 14, 21:47 UTC
- MERGEWill Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?$8.70Apr 14, 21:47 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?$3.8KApr 14, 21:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the floor price of Azuki be 25 ETH or more on April 22?$585.00Apr 14, 21:43 UTC
- MERGE[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$3.9KApr 14, 21:41 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022?$48.13Apr 14, 21:39 UTC
- MERGE[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.2KApr 14, 21:38 UTC
- MERGEWill ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4?$357.30Apr 14, 21:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?$90.88Apr 14, 21:35 UTC
- MERGEWill ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022?$864.21Apr 14, 21:31 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022?$1.2KApr 14, 21:29 UTC
- MERGEWill the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22?$1.2KApr 14, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".