Joyful-Sunroom
0xfa997c3bbffc25b147c6d1707553084c6d27bc0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$27.00
Total PnL
$1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$15.63
$0.63
- NO
Xi Jinping out before October?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
2 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.16
$0.16
- NO
Netanyahu out by August 31?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?$2.00Aug 31, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$3.00Aug 31, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$15.00Aug 31, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$2.04Aug 31, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by August 31?$2.00Jul 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$1.00Jul 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$2.00Jul 31, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 1?$0.00Jul 31, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$1.03Jul 31, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out before July?$1.03Jul 31, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek be #1 model before July?$1.05Jul 31, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMRomania election called before July?$2.08Jul 31, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 1?$1.00Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$1.00Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$2.00Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek be #1 model before July?$1.00May 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out before July?$1.00May 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania election called before July?$2.00May 29, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$0.00May 29, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese lose his seat?$1.01May 29, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".