Appropriate-Connotation
0xfaaa864d7e793a3fd13c20dbb238072942ec95c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$602.23
Total PnL
$2.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$200.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?
122 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$122.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
122 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$122.00
$1.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
111 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$111.00
$0.22
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
50 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.23
$0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$199.63Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$120.86Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$110.79Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$121.77Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$133.00Jun 21, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$400.00Jun 21, 07:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.23May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$46.68May 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$131.94May 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$396.16May 30, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.33May 30, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$6.82May 30, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.33May 30, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$7.20May 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.00May 30, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.50May 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$33.00May 30, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$4.90May 30, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $76.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.