Flamboyant-Staircase
0xfaaad44bab5878a9b02aaecd944e62e3ba4e34f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
2018 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
1936 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 19?
1888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
450 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?
335 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$48.79Jan 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$50.00Jan 21, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.33Jan 20, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.82Jan 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.84Jan 20, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNortheastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawks$1.97Jan 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?$2.00Jan 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".