Sneaky-Cholesterol
0xfaac5ca17f85f914902575d8af151f0b66622e1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$27.69
Total PnL
$3.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.20
$0.22
- NO
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$7.00
$5.32
- NO
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$6.83
$0.03
- NO
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.24
$0.14
- NO
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.42
$0.21
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?
9 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?$1.68Dec 7, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-07?$2.70Dec 7, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$2.41Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.13Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?$5.52Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$6.05Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$7.84Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.94Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$8.31Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$41.49Dec 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$7.60Nov 23, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$41.45Oct 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?$5.50Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$8.30Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$2.31Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.00Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.21Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$5.71Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill FURIA win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$5.91Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?$6.00Sep 13, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.