Hot-Crisp
0xfab9222908d531ff6c49637583107d81d0d1a684
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$183.00
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$182.83May 31, 06:36 UTC
- REWARD$7.07Apr 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 23?$1.00Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22?$0.28Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$13.80Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- MERGEAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$11.05Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?$1.89Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?$4.40Apr 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?$14.80Apr 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$12.20Apr 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$11.20Apr 22, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$13.80Apr 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22?$0.29Apr 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22?$0.00Apr 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?$14.80Apr 22, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?$4.40Apr 22, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?$0.81Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?$0.00Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$12.80Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 03:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.