Jaunty-Legislature
0xfabdbfb5a10273b827985a0265dd433c7d43d7fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$40.91
Total PnL
$-19.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$0.00Oct 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$489.21Aug 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$6.02Aug 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$6.03Aug 23, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2024?$41.17Aug 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?$41.17Aug 22, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?$24.44Aug 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September? $11.21Aug 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$13.22Aug 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?$6.81Aug 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by October 31?$9.00Aug 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut in 2024?$10.00Aug 20, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September? $10.00Aug 20, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$10.00Aug 20, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$10.00Aug 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$50.00Aug 20, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $49.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.