Mindless-Metaphor
0xfac507c6e52552cd213cfcc6e522212ecbcafa0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.49
Total PnL
$-548.17
Realised
$-4.97
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- DAMIAN PINAS
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1023 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-511.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- JAKE DELANEY
Busan: James Kent Trotter vs Jake Delaney
4 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- GRIZZLIES
Hornets vs. Grizzlies
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NUGGETS
Knicks vs. Nuggets
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Magic
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Lakers vs. Raptors
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ALEX DE MINAUR
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur
2 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Magic
2 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$1.01Jul 8, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.03Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.10Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.37Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 5, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.02Jun 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.10Jun 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.00May 27, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.00May 27, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$205.88May 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$141.34May 26, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin$1.03May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.14May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$1.22May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev$1.49May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.67May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic$1.72May 26, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.70May 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev$1.01May 11, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin$1.00May 11, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 04:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.