Awful-Sourwood
0xfacdb2b2e4d71567dabf63b5091f08882c0c5c15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?
275 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 4?
270 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 7?
269 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?
266 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 8?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
263 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
256 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will BNB dip to $800 in December?
253 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 8?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 16?
239 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$75.77Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$0.21Jul 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$74.20Jul 14, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$88.93Jun 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$86.44May 30, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$86.48May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$85.18May 22, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$76.88May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$0.21May 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$75.29May 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$1.08May 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 9?$3.17May 9, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$76.61May 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$0.18Apr 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$0.13Apr 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$74.24Apr 28, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?$0.00Apr 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 20?$2.77Apr 19, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 29?$90.73Apr 18, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 8?$0.00Apr 10, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.