Paltry-Reality
0xfacf26cacb18410a74e4fed958a42478eb4176f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 4?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
479 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
240 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 29?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?$45.05Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$58.06Jun 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$48.00Jun 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$10.00Jun 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.15Jun 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 2?$45.00Jun 1, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$104.10May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$104.01May 24, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$104.10May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$104.01May 21, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$104.10May 21, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$104.00May 9, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$104.10May 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$104.01May 6, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$46.09May 6, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$58.06May 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$46.00May 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 4?$1.07May 3, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$58.00May 3, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on May 3?$105.11May 3, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $69.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".