Carefree-Apparatus
0xfad3724993ecd3d2ca675ef3d5e2b84b3d99edc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6200 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$21.70
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
2940 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$984.90
$-14.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3490 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$336.79
$-61.07
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1430 shares @ 6.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$160.88
$62.20
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$85.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$41.50
$-4.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.99
$8.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.01
$-6.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET$46.00Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$1.0KJun 14, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$0.00Jun 14, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$0.00Jun 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET$2.30Jun 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET$2.30Jun 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET$2.30Jun 14, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$0.00Jun 14, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET$28.80Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET$10.00Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET$37.80Jun 14, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET$100.00Jun 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$5.35Jun 14, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET$100.00Jun 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$0.85Jun 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$39.80Jun 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$25.56Jun 14, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$45.93Jun 14, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$2.30Jun 14, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET$0.07Jun 14, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $39.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.