Creamy-Worry
0xfae2b1293372b452dfe20405866d70b1e01e07a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$62.12
Total PnL
$31.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?$30.21May 17, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$102.12May 17, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?$280.05May 17, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$338.98May 17, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?$673.69May 17, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?$263.17Nov 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $200 on November 15?$7.59Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$100.00Nov 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on November 15?$100.00Nov 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?$600.00Nov 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$217.39Nov 4, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 11 and 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$315.79Oct 31, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMAugust temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?$10.99Oct 10, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMAugust temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?$10.20Oct 10, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMAugust temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?$0.00Oct 10, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMAugust temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?$30.41Oct 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 11 and 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$300.00Oct 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAugust temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?$10.00Sep 2, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAugust temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?$10.00Sep 2, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $118.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.