Lined-Yang
0xfafbad20c6d5c5c3fbb39b5854ecae6ce51f6de6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$2.09
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
4340 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.34
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2243 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will PF win the second most seats in the Norway election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Celtics
350 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors
200 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.00Jul 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 1?$1.20Jul 1, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.04Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in June?$3.00Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 1?$1.20Jun 28, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$2.50Jun 27, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$2.50Jun 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in June?$3.00Jun 25, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 22?$3.60Jun 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 22?$3.60Jun 19, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.50Jun 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$1.04Jun 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.04Jun 15, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.01Jun 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.01Jun 14, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$2.41May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00May 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$1.20May 22, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.