Spherical-Caramel
0xfb0471a0641d715ba4670366dea2b27c043d3ce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$686.93
Total PnL
$-25.0K
Realised
$-180.86
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12735 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.39
$4.33
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7200 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$182.88
$-99.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
797 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$127.09
$-10.16
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1670 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.69
$5.84
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4697 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.89
$-2.35
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2608 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-900.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1580 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-218.47
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?
1515 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.77Jun 1, 16:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.05May 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.93May 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.13May 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.84May 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.49May 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55.60May 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.18May 28, 19:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.63May 27, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.52May 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.81May 27, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.18May 27, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $47.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".