Left-Batting
0xfb0dc3c31c6c6c03a8967f0bfc80792020baac5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$197.67
Total PnL
$-1.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?
50 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.50
$0.05
- NO
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?
50 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$48.40
$-0.30
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
50 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.75
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?
50 shares @ 96.7¢·now 94.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.05
$-1.30
- NO
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.97
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$48.25Jul 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Aiyuk play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?$4.83Jul 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?$49.45Jul 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?$48.70Jul 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$12.74Jun 23, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$13.40Jun 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.04Jun 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?$48.35Jun 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$27.69Jun 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$8.92Jun 17, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$1.10Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$11.28Jun 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$48.95Jun 10, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$31.54Jun 4, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.97Jun 3, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$25.56Jun 3, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$49.00May 31, 17:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $32.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.