Vibrant-Ginger
0xfb10a216457eb76a36b7dd17ba80892318f5af05
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-423.52
Realised
$3.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
5361 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-276.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
343 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
68 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
51 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
39 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
- YES
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?
32 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00Apr 27, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.93Apr 16, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$9.34Apr 16, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$4.65Apr 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$10.00Apr 15, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?$24.65Apr 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?$4.93Mar 6, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$17.62Jan 28, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$10.16Jan 22, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$6.04Jan 22, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$4.59Jan 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$5.00Jan 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$11.01Jan 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$34.98Dec 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$19.99Dec 9, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$49.92Dec 8, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Dec 8, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.