Modest-Efficacy
0xfb132d60f62dae0aed536b0fa1021095a65195c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$262.84
Total PnL
$-91.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will PDF Reader-PDF Manage be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
132 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$131.79
$1.58
- NO
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on December 22?
131 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$131.05
$1.44
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
299 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.74
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be greater than 2,800,000?
271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $230?
232 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.29
- YES
Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?
220 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.81
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340?
166 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?
165 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 14?
164 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)
132 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $340?$3.65Feb 19, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?$3.64Feb 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?$0.25Feb 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?$0.73Feb 17, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be greater than 2,800,000?$4.88Feb 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$13.74Feb 16, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 February 9-15?$5.79Feb 16, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?$33.81Feb 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 February 9-15?$5.69Feb 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on February 13?$2.25Feb 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 14?$3.60Feb 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $230?$12.29Feb 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gono Odhikar Parishad finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$2.33Feb 10, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWest Georgia Wolves vs. Georgia Bulldogs$80.99Feb 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 20?$6.80Jan 15, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Georgia Wolves vs. Georgia Bulldogs$79.21Dec 21, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 15 above $110?$82.58Dec 21, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $80 on December 22?$129.61Dec 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?$129.91Dec 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 15 above $110?$80.19Dec 14, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $34.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".