0xfb1b5c9321a02e1fc690e9bf744bfcb1afc05b75
0xfb1b5c9321a02e1fc690e9bf744bfcb1afc05b75
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$313.77
Total PnL
$811.02
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election?
314 shares @ 31.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$313.77
$213.77
- YES
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
2623 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-227.47
- NO
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
2069 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2022$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
955 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election?
314 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?
314 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2022$0.00
$-19.21
- YES
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023?
138 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-14.48
- YES
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY?
109 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-33.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022?$0.77Feb 9, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022?$0.27Feb 9, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from September to October 2022?$0.13Feb 9, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022?$0.00Feb 9, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?$86.83Feb 9, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from September to October 2022?$29.33Feb 9, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting?$129.51Feb 9, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF be federally indicted by EOY?$36.34Feb 9, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance pull out of their FTX deal?$340.55Feb 9, 05:34 UTC
- MERGEWill FTX become insolvent by EOY?$1.4KNov 10, 12:54 UTC
- MERGEWill FTX become insolvent by EOY?$1.3KNov 10, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17?$0.14Nov 9, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?$0.22Nov 9, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of $ETH be above $1500 on November 4?$0.00Nov 9, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting?$0.00Nov 9, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30?$104.20Nov 9, 17:16 UTC
- MERGEWill FTX become insolvent by EOY?$155.60Nov 9, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?$85.33Oct 22, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".