0xfb1b5c9321a02e1fc690e9bf744bfcb1afc05b75
0xfb1b5c9321a02e1fc690e9bf744bfcb1afc05b75
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$313.77
Total PnL
$811.02
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election?
314 shares @ 31.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$313.77
$213.77
- YES
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
2623 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-227.47
- NO
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
2069 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2022$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY?
955 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election?
314 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?
314 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2022$0.00
$-19.21
- YES
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023?
138 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-14.48
- YES
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY?
109 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-33.01
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.