Joint-Manufacturing
0xfb205df49b10e60e10e05f6810e759087e8d48b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-709.10
Realised
$-7.34
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
11720 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-11.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3571 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-8.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
3049 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
2419 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-29.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1620 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1299 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1242 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-11.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$11.00Apr 16, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.69Apr 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$18.90Apr 15, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.71Apr 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$2.75Apr 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.03Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$4.17Apr 15, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.11Apr 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.13Apr 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$4.85Apr 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.44Apr 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$4.49Apr 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$3.01Apr 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.02Apr 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.26Apr 15, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.01Apr 15, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.