Solid-Taxpayer
0xfb24b7216efca4ce4cc2d83c8e37c0c93ba85262
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.30
Total PnL
$-3.82
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?
4 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 12?
2 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 12?$1.04May 11, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?$1.04May 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$1.01May 11, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$0.00May 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$0.00May 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$1.18May 11, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?$1.01May 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 12?$1.03May 11, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 10?$1.15May 11, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 10?$1.19May 11, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12?$1.01May 11, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 30?$0.00May 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 1?$0.00May 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?$0.00May 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?$0.00May 10, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?$1.12May 10, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 10?$1.01May 10, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 10?$1.01May 10, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9?$1.14May 10, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 9?$1.01May 9, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.