Brown-Eavesdropper
0xfb29c84e422e1926cc9a67199d85512c0d01573f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-221.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
32092 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-739.27
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
11198 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-839.98
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2966 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
2000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
827 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
637 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?
614 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
540 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
258 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$236.56Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$266.32Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$300.00Mar 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$300.00Mar 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$326.59Mar 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$2.0KMar 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$980.00Mar 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$686.00Mar 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$118.00Mar 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$12.08Mar 6, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$234.37Mar 6, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$6.77Mar 6, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$4.50Mar 6, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$10.80Mar 6, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$24.30Mar 6, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$18.00Mar 6, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$10.80Mar 6, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$6.30Mar 6, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.50Mar 6, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$9.60Mar 6, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $253.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.