0xfb3b91f483d26a89dbe368093345ea15bf9e9280
0xfb3b91f483d26a89dbe368093345ea15bf9e9280
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$86.69
Total PnL
$-12.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Solana reach $170 in April?
6 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$5.90
$0.95
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.05
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in April?$4.95Apr 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?$5.00Apr 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?$4.99Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?$4.99Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$4.99Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?$4.99Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?$4.99Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$5.00Apr 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$5.00Apr 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?$3.98Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 17:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.