0xfb51eb15fc7e32d1729344d78da5e573bf6e5a11
0xfb51eb15fc7e32d1729344d78da5e573bf6e5a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$18.39
Total PnL
$-4.66
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$3.49
$0.49
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 46.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.44
$0.43
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
US government shutdown by October 1?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on September 25?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$0.99Oct 3, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.97Oct 2, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 2, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 2, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$1.00Oct 1, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 30, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Sep 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$0.83Sep 30, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Sep 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.02Sep 30, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 30, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Sep 30, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.80 on September 25?$1.01Sep 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.80 on September 25?$1.00Sep 25, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 3, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.