Basic-Pick
0xfb526a583f07a531bd841e9c53ed018cf09151f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-551.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers?
1185 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?
885 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-176.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
517 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?
258 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-165.52
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$327.03Oct 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$119.00Sep 1, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?$176.00Sep 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?$24.54Feb 26, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?$24.54Feb 26, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?$140.98Feb 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?$100.00Feb 16, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$150.00Feb 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?$50.00Feb 16, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$10.00Feb 16, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers?$50.00Feb 16, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $84.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".