Calm-Member
0xfb5a08446610ee162fa6b421dc35c8460cedd8f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-840.32
Realised
$-29.28
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
922 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-479.56
- YES
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
741 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.54
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
678 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-83.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
316 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-110.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
215 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-49.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
199 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-35.85
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$12.31Apr 3, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$487.15Mar 9, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$77.78Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$163.66Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$45.97Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$45.02Mar 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$44.38Mar 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$43.55Mar 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.07Mar 9, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$46.56Mar 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$97.24Mar 8, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$19.18Mar 8, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$111.67Mar 8, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$111.68Mar 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$57.46Mar 7, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$42.54Mar 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$50.00Mar 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$150.00Mar 7, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $65.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".