Vivid-Theory
0xfb66d862a58ee2e6cb94a74815e397622dd25ac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.17
Total PnL
$-68.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$1.17
$0.18
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US strike Yemen next?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
25 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$1.00Feb 19, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Yemen next?$2.00Feb 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$3.00Feb 19, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$3.00Feb 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.00Feb 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.31Feb 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.00Feb 14, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.41Feb 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Feb 14, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$10.20Feb 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$10.00Feb 5, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Feb 5, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.52Feb 5, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Feb 5, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$10.63Feb 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$10.00Feb 5, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".