Serene-Magnitude
0xfb69084b0c0d430336dce4662302eb3f37708781
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$79.20
Total PnL
$-3.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
68 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$67.57
$17.57
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$11.63
$6.63
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump win 3 swing states?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "believe in freedom" in her speech after the election is called?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 6, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$5.00Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "believe in freedom" in her speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 5, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 5, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 5, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$50.00Nov 5, 23:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".