Free-Appetite
0xfb697d93b898ebe401d2681666a2d59c553706a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-912.36
Realised
$-15.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 30?
345 shares @ 59.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$336.58
$131.58
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 30?
203 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$202.45
$17.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 31?
71 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$70.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 31?
121 shares @ 49.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$65.89
$5.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?
112 shares @ 53.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$56.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?
125 shares @ 39.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$52.03
$2.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 31?
53 shares @ 93.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.03
$1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 30?
131 shares @ 38.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$49.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 30?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$48.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
60 shares @ 83.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$45.95
$-4.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 30?$51.40Jul 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 30?$25.97Jul 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?$43.25Jul 30, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?$41.26Jul 30, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 30?$51.55Jul 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 30?$41.43Jul 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?$61.39Jul 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 30?$26.01Jul 30, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$12.74Jul 30, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$0.59Jul 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$1.82Jul 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$7.04Jul 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$7.40Jul 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$7.40Jul 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?$6.43Jul 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?$51.50Jul 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$50.42Jul 30, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?$6.76Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?$87.03Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$103.45Jul 29, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $41.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.