Respectful-Alteration
0xfb74f67ccfa40255460476fb40c8962dca9450d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$134.49
Total PnL
$-380.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals
97 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$56.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
472 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$28.54
$-16.46
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
525 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-159.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
280 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-146.87
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
153 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$50.79Jun 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKai Havertz: 1+ goals$56.71Jun 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$379.35Jun 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-06?$301.89Jun 6, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$89.95May 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$72.32May 30, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$470.87May 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$299.94May 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$23.35May 6, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$125.45May 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$59.16Apr 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$97.09Apr 26, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$69.00Apr 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$27.00Apr 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$156.80Apr 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$18.00Apr 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$100.00Apr 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$230.55Mar 22, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$27.04Mar 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 22, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $70.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.