Mammoth-Democracy
0xfb77939d22397099118c6ce232260309aa41608e
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$93.67
Total PnL
$-119.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
83 shares @ 40.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$37.01
$3.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 4?
42 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$24.05
$1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$9.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$8.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?
8 shares @ 72.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 5?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 4?
206 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.23
$-0.77
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
592 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-124.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 5?$5.113h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?$6.083h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?$7.253h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$9.183h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 4?$5.243h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 4?$23.523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$35.013h ago
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$24.00439d ago
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$100.25439d ago
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?$0.00487d ago
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?$0.00487d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$124.24543d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$74.05547d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?$0.00547d ago
- REDEEMWill Houthis seize another ship by December 8?$0.00547d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023?$0.00547d ago
- REDEEMU.S. military action against Iran before November?$0.00547d ago
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$74.06547d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$13.33577d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. military action against Iran before November?$10.00577d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $16.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 928d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".