Magnificent-Metronome
0xfb8268109e14bc4f3dca24cce3d84d4b4fb62d99
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.6K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$72.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
12041 shares @ 75.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.5K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1405 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$219.63
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
874 shares @ 80.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$755.90
$55.90
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
426 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$397.87
$-2.13
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$301.72
$1.72
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
251 shares @ 79.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$214.47
$14.47
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.43
$3.43
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 28.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.39
$-10.61
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
60 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-1.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.14Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.14Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.14Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $135.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.