Scornful-Tender
0xfb8b4a71c074a4335fe203bd6b49a32196127ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$189.29
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$100.10
$0.10
- YES
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
19 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$18.97
$0.02
- NO
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$18.95Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$100.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be the next CEO of X?$20.02Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$560 in 2025?$20.06Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$28.34Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$40.16Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$40.16Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$40.20Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$28.26Dec 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$40.00Dec 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$40.00Dec 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$40.00Dec 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be the next CEO of X?$20.00Dec 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$560 in 2025?$20.00Dec 22, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meteora launch a token in 2025?$60.18Dec 22, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $72.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.