Scornful-Tender
0xfb8b4a71c074a4335fe203bd6b49a32196127ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$189.22
Total PnL
$0.60
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
79 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.00
$0.22
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.29
$0.15
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.00
$0.24
- NO
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.93
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$69.81Jun 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$8.97Jun 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$50.15Jun 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$19.92Jun 21, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?$39.77Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$10.01Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.05Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.06Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$18.97Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$20.02Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$20.08Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$100.10Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$18.95Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$20.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$100.00Feb 26, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be the next CEO of X?$20.02Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $41.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.