Harmonious-Guilty
0xfb920573050a348fffa5f7d1d39dcf37abb2c5f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.55
Total PnL
$-0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google reach $340 in January?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $340 in January?$1.00Jan 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$2.00Jan 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 8, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 8, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.