Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$11.60

Total PnL

$-792.45

Realised

$-14.59

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 58

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$6.29
$1.32
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$5.31
$0.32
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
78 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.32
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
77 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.34
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
77 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-49.34
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
67 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.54
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
61 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.70
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-49.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
51 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-49.60
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
35 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-24.73

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.49Apr 15, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 14:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$78.07Feb 26, 01:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$51.54Feb 26, 01:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:42 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$56.08Feb 26, 01:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:32 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$53.16Feb 26, 01:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:23 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$52.07Feb 26, 01:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$79.53Feb 26, 01:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$81.31Feb 26, 01:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 01:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 00:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$50.00Feb 26, 00:52 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry16 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk67 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $50.56
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 25, 23:27 UTC
Last active: Apr 15, 14:28 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:58:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data