Wallet digest

active

Activity score

62/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$14.82

Total PnL

$-121.64

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 17

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
15 shares @ 33.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$14.82
$9.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-9.99
YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
52 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-12.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
40 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-0.80
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
30 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-17.90
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-24.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-9.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
29 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-19.76
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-12.80

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 17:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$20.00Feb 15, 17:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 16:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$16.85Feb 15, 16:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$10.00Feb 15, 16:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.91Feb 15, 16:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.09Feb 15, 16:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 16:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.00Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.00Feb 15, 13:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$31.91Feb 15, 13:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 13:31 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$33.54Feb 15, 13:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$15.00Feb 15, 13:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$15.46Feb 15, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$13.79Feb 15, 13:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.90Feb 15, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 02:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$6.01Feb 15, 02:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 02:11 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry41 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk73 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $10.42
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 16, 14:32 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 17:13 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:11:07 UTC·src:Polymarket Data