Shady-Isolation
0xfba1c7503fd73e87f1680528c5023a6a8946e5b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-130.68
Realised
$-30.08
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?
352 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?
131 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-54.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?
130 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?
125 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
41 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?$46.20May 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?$10.30May 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?$2.09May 5, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?$58.48May 5, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?$6.29May 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?$1.05May 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?$0.64May 5, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?$50.06May 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$12.12May 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?$4.19May 5, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$20.85May 5, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?$5.23May 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?$0.96May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?$0.94May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on May 5?$0.24May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 5?$1.13May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$3.90May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?$10.63May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$9.06May 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?$15.24May 5, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.