Magnificent-Hornet
0xfba1d2c06d56bb6fd3df450025ae3f5ea81f62d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$35.31
Total PnL
$-6.43
Realised
$-6.19
Win rate
13%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$8.23
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.51
$0.21
- NO
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.40
$0.02
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.30
$0.16
- NO
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.02
- NO
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.09
- NO
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.21
$0.01
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.13
$0.03
- NO
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.13
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$8.20Oct 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.1KSep 18, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.1KSep 18, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KSep 18, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KSep 18, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.30May 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.14Apr 10, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$1.02Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.24Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.55Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$19.37Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$20.02Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$21.33Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$17.50Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$20.25Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$24.55Mar 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$26.00Mar 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$21.00Mar 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$19.00Mar 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$23.00Mar 23, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $240.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".