Earnest-Nail
0xfbad053ede6ab4fbe459d58f46c708e05d920f23
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-350.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1084 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
645 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
578 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
524 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
441 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$100.00Mar 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$100.00Mar 8, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$126.09Mar 8, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.00Feb 25, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?$10.00Feb 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$100.00Feb 22, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $64.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.