Intrepid-Comradeship
0xfbb11da1c205aa234f84d2a7e09b230ca9dcbd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$134.65
Total PnL
$-214.96
Realised
$-2.17
Win rate
0%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 14?
31 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$31.05
$1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?
31 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$30.61
$0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?
30 shares @ 97.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$28.05
$-1.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 12?
32 shares @ 92.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$25.55
$-4.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on August 14?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$11.88
$0.48
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 13?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.55
$-0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or below on August 12?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.95
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
20 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on August 14?$11.40Aug 12, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?$29.83Aug 12, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 14?$30.00Aug 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on August 13?$5.77Aug 11, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 12?$29.88Aug 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?$29.10Aug 11, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 10?$5.00Aug 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or below on August 12?$1.91Aug 10, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 9?$32.00Aug 10, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 10?$4.40Aug 10, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on August 11?$0.38Aug 9, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?$33.20Aug 9, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 9?$26.00Aug 9, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?$27.40Aug 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?$2.48Aug 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 8?$26.42Aug 8, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?$25.00Aug 8, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 9?$29.12Aug 8, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on August 7?$25.00Aug 7, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?$27.00Aug 7, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
51 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $16.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.