Intrepid-Comradeship
0xfbb11da1c205aa234f84d2a7e09b230ca9dcbd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$164.48
Total PnL
$-122.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 27?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$15.48
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?
16 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$15.34
$0.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$14.99
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$14.99
$0.44
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 28?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.97
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28?
15 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.86
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on June 29?
16 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$14.68
$-0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on June 27?
14 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$14.06
$0.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on June 27?
13 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$12.93
$0.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$9.68
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$9.71Jun 27, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$7.15Jun 27, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.47Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?$16.00Jun 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on June 29?$14.82Jun 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 30°C or higher on June 29?$5.33Jun 27, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?$14.57Jun 27, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$9.96Jun 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?$14.55Jun 27, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C or below on June 26?$15.00Jun 26, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.60Jun 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.37Jun 26, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.00Jun 26, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.39Jun 26, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.47Jun 26, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?$16.25Jun 26, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.49Jun 26, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on June 26?$15.00Jun 26, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 26?$15.50Jun 26, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 28?$5.82Jun 26, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.