Naive-Doorbell
0xfbb15e42d8798e55511ec11925e62db5c4bef048
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$122.11
Total PnL
$22.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
61 shares @ 57.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$60.76
$25.76
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$10.00
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.66
$2.66
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$12.05
$2.05
- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
12 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$11.64
$1.64
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$15.00Oct 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$35.00Oct 19, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?$10.00Oct 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$10.00Oct 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$10.00Oct 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$10.00Oct 19, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Oct 19, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.