Weekly-Birdbath
0xfbb3e39ee9449b186dda358122b4b53c87fc24df
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$7.22
Total PnL
$-32.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.30
$0.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$1.93
$0.96
- YES
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-01?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
57 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 1?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on November 16?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 30?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on November 2?
6 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$1.00Apr 19, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?$5.00Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$9.69Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?$5.08Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$1.14Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.15Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$2.14Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$5.01Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$5.63Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$5.00Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?$5.00Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$5.00Apr 6, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$5.00Apr 4, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?$2.14Mar 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?$1.00Mar 20, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 17?$2.89Mar 20, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".