Ornery-Criteria
0xfbb7f9ba92c0e21686c7404bf105104fb753f0ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.14
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit?
86 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-8.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
2 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$3.11Jan 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$3.00Jan 19, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$0.00Dec 6, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$0.00Dec 6, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$0.00Dec 6, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.50Dec 4, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?$0.77Dec 4, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 1 - 7)$0.48Dec 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?$1.00Dec 3, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Dec 3, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Dec 3, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.25Dec 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 1 - 7)$1.00Dec 3, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?$0.00Nov 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Nov 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?$1.00Nov 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.02Nov 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Nov 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$0.05Nov 7, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.