Jumbo-Trooper
0xfbba3875b02e615405cac1ade5181e0e6c842153
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.48
Total PnL
$-26.74
Realised
$-11.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.53
$-0.00
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.21
$0.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.1KJun 20, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.1KJun 20, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.2KJun 20, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.2KJun 20, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.3KJun 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.3KJun 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.2KJun 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.2KJun 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.05Jun 20, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.65Jun 20, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$6.2KJun 20, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$5.8KMay 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.9KMay 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.9KMay 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.9KMay 26, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.9KMay 26, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.9KMay 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.9KApr 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.17Apr 25, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.9KApr 25, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$24.0K
Trades
4
Buy share
50%
Window
May 26, 11:00 UTC → Jun 20, 09:12 UTC
- SELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.1K@99¢Jun 20, 09:12 UTC
- BUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.1K@99¢Jun 20, 09:12 UTC
- SELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.9K@99¢May 26, 10:56 UTC
- BUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.9K@99¢May 26, 10:56 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$12.2K
2 trades
30d volume
$24.0K
4 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$12.2K · 51% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.