Warped-Pillbox
0xfbbb6f5a6c92790ea56f0ee59b09fbf5276998f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$10.92
Total PnL
$-28.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$3.85
$2.85
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$1.63
$0.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?$1.00Mar 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?$1.00Mar 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?$1.00Mar 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?$1.32Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?$1.61Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?$3.03Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?$1.00Mar 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?$1.00Mar 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?$1.00Mar 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 16, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?$1.40Mar 16, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?$3.00Mar 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?$3.00Mar 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?$1.00Mar 16, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$1.00Mar 16, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?$1.00Mar 16, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$1.00Mar 16, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?$3.70Mar 16, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".