0xfbbbef55f2a0374cd68bc2e909951ffe3fb58ee7
0xfbbbef55f2a0374cd68bc2e909951ffe3fb58ee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-84.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.42
$-0.57
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
366 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Albert Littell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Mississippi?
301 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
298 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
248 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will Alfredo Solares win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
170 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
160 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
150 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
148 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Joey Ruzevich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?
147 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.24Mar 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.81Mar 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.14Mar 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.01Mar 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.43Mar 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.34Mar 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.14Mar 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$0.65Mar 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$1.05Mar 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?$0.06Mar 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.31Mar 9, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.33Mar 9, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Ruzevich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?$0.71Mar 9, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Ruzevich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?$0.18Mar 9, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.17Mar 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.17Mar 9, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.33Mar 9, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.23Mar 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.13Mar 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?$0.23Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.