Equal-Tolerance
0xfbc9016bda8a613e91b51046f052db73cd7a9229
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-212.48
Realised
$-108.49
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
23570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
3638 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1252 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.97
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 8AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CF América win on 2026-01-09?
34 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF América end in a draw?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$19.86Feb 9, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$15.80Feb 9, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$19.98Feb 9, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$18.60Feb 9, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$13.68Feb 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$15.00Feb 9, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$19.99Feb 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$19.00Feb 9, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $320-$325 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$2.00Jan 27, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 27, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)$2.00Jan 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)$1.98Jan 25, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 25, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $320-$325 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$0.00Jan 24, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5$2.00Jan 23, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $320-$325 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$1.98Jan 23, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMFairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles (W)$2.00Jan 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles (W)$1.68Jan 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5$2.00Jan 22, 03:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.04Jan 22, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".